Senior Market Strategist
Russell Shor is a Senior Market Strategist at FXCM, having been promoted to the role in 2025 in recognition of his depth of insight and consistent delivery of high-impact market analysis. He originally joined FXCM in October 2017 as a Senior Market Specialist.
Russell holds an Honours Degree in Economics from the University of South Africa, is a certified FMVA®, and a full member of the Society of Technical Analysts (UK). With over 20 years of experience in financial markets, his work is renowned for its clarity, precision, and strategic value across asset classes.
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Past performance is not an indicator of future results Further to our previous analysis, gold's EMAs are pushing for a more bullish formation. EMAs are trend-following indicators and work under trend conditions. Consolidations tend to lead to whipsaw signals. The shorter-term green EMA has moved into a bullish position, and we are now looking for the mid-term orange EMA to cross above the longer-term red EMA (aqua ellipse). If this…
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results. The weekly EURUSD is examined on several levels: 1. Head and shoulders top (blue rectangles). The positively sloped aqua line shows the pattern's neckline. The vertical aqua line derives the pattern's target following its breakout. The target is 1.1134 and is academic - it may or may not be achieved. However, it does give the sense of bearishness associated with breakdown.…
The MSFT weekly chart is overbought (blue rectangle). At some stage, the RSI will need to normalise. However, weekly conditions are tricky because it may take weeks or even months before correcting. The last overbought condition took two months before clearing (blue verticals). The stochastic has also been showing tremendous strength and has been in the upper region since mid-June (red rectangle). Past Performance: Past Performance is not an indicator…
Past performance is not an indicator of future results Following our previous analysis, the USDOLLAR has built off of its reference low. This week's price action has charted the next higher peak in a series of higher troughs followed by higher peaks. The USDOLLAR is in a defined uptrend. Furthermore, the greenback's momentum has increased throughout 2021. This is evident by the shift up in gradient from the green trendline…
Yesterday, the US headline CPI beat the forecast of 5.8% y/y, coming in at 6.2%. The core CPI, which strips out volatile items such as energy and food also beat at 4.6% (4.3% forecast). As such, nominal yields are adjusting. Past performance is not an indicator of future results Source: www.tradingview.com The chart above shows the Heiken Ashi US10Y. Its yield is a nominal yield i.e. it has an inflation…
Past performance is not an indicator of future results The GBPUSD has charted a lower peak followed by a lower trough on a weekly time frame. This is the definition of a downtrend and is considered cable's primary trend. Moreover, the weekly stochastic is rolling over (aqua ellipse); a movement towards the lower quintile (aqua arrow) will be off of GBPUSD weakness. Giving momentum to cable's primary price trend, UK…
Past performance is not an indicator of future results The UK100, FXCM's proxy for the FTSE 100, has consolidated since May (blue rectangle). However, the index has broken out. The weekly stochastic has moved into the upper quintile (aqua ellipse), and as long as it holds these levels, an underlying bullish momentum is likely to be present. This, as JPMorgan upgrades UK shares to "overweight." The bank maintains that current…
Past performance is not an indicator of future results It's been almost 2 weeks since Apple (AAPL) released its Q4 earnings (we note that AAPL's financial year-end is 29 September). The market was disappointed with the revenue number, which fell short of consensus. CEO Tim Cook attributed this to larger-than-expected supply constraints. Since then, the stock has traded sideways (blue rectangle). However, AAPL is fundamentally a very strong company. Its…
Past performance is not an indicator of future results The weekly SPX500 is trending up. It has a higher trough followed by a higher peak. At some stage, the current impulse (aqua line) will run out of momentum, and a correction will ensue. As long as the pullback finds support above the previous higher trough, the uptrend remains intact. The weekly RSI is not overbought, but the daily time frame…
Past performance is not an indicator of future results Further to our previous article, we consider UKOil's weekly scale (FXCM's proxy for Bent). After a pullback, UKOil has stabilised with the three EMAs (left chart) showing angle and separation. The right chart is also weekly, but we have zoomed in on the price action. A close above last week's high (aqua horizontal) is bullish, charting a reference low. This is…
Past performance is not an indicator of future results. Source: www.tradingview.com Prior to the Covid-19 pandemic, the US10Y yield (blue line chart) was in decline. At the same time, the 10Y breakeven inflation rate was coming down. This period is denoted by the red down trendlines. The orange box represents most of the 2020 year, as authorities implemented unprecedented monetary stimulus to deal with the fallout of the pandemic. To…
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