NFP Trade – 03 December ’21 (Recorded)
Senior Market Strategist
Russell Shor is a Senior Market Strategist at FXCM, having been promoted to the role in 2025 in recognition of his depth of insight and consistent delivery of high-impact market analysis. He originally joined FXCM in October 2017 as a Senior Market Specialist.
Russell holds an Honours Degree in Economics from the University of South Africa, is a certified FMVA®, and a full member of the Society of Technical Analysts (UK). With over 20 years of experience in financial markets, his work is renowned for its clarity, precision, and strategic value across asset classes.
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Stock Price Performance Amazon has been a star performer over the last five years. The holding period return is an astounding 330%, from $790 to the current price of $3,400. The yearly returns are as follows: 2017: 53% 2018: 28% 2019: 14% 2020: 72% 2021*: 5% Past Performance: Past Performance is not an indicator of future results. Return on Equity During this period, the company increased its return on equity…
Daily Chart Further to our previous article, XAUUSD's daily chart has turned bearish. The mid orange moving average has crossed below the longer red moving average (aqua ellipse). This puts the moving averages into a bearish formation. The stochastic is also in the lower quintile, suggesting an underlying bearish momentum. The longer the stochastic maintains this position, the greater the probability for lower prices ahead. If the longer red moving…
According to Bloomberg, Apple Inc (AAPL) has told its suppliers that demand for its iPhone13 has slowed. The company cut production by as many as 10m units due to the global chip shortage. However, the remaining orders are now also under pressure, given this slump. The holiday season is Apple's biggest quarter. Given these developments, turnover will become a key focus for short-term prospects. We ran a Monte Carlo discounted…
Weekly Chart The weekly chart below makes for an interesting analysis. This week's candle (aqua arrow), which is still to be completed, is a doji. This is a candle of uncertainty. Bulls tried to take the price up and the bears tried to take the price down, however, despite intentions, the price remains relatively flat for the week. Given the uncertainty surrounding omicron, the doji candle is not surprising. However,…
Featured Image by 3D Animation Production Company from Pixabay
Weekly Chart The NAS100 weekly chart retains its bullish bias. The shorter-term green moving average is above the mid-term orange moving average, and the mid-term orange moving average is above the longer-term red moving average. This is a bullish formation. Since shortly after the pandemic lows, the index stochastic has also oscillated around its 70th percentile (aqua rectangle), suggesting the presence of underlying bullish momentum. This matched with index appreciation…
Past Performance: Past Performance is not an indicator of future results. The left chart shows the USDOLLAR daily timeframe. The candlesticks have pulled back but remain in the bullish area, between the upper blue and upper red bands. Yesterday, Fed Chair Powell testified in front of the Banking Senate Committee. The Fed has pivoted. Concerning the word "transitory" in describing inflation, Mr. Powell said that it's "probably a good time…
Weekly Chart Further to our previous article, the GER30 charted a lower low this week at support (blue shaded horizontal). Since hitting this level, bulls have attempted to push the price higher, and the current action is off the low for the week. This has set up a potential swing low. However, for this to take place, short-term candles will need to chart a higher low and close above this…
Weekly Timeframe The below shows the weekly timeframe of FXCM's USDOLLAR basket. We have applied a triple moving average system to assess its trend. The green shorter-term moving average is above the mid-term orange moving average, and the mid-term orange moving average is above the longer red-term moving average. This is a bullish formation. The weekly stochastic is also above 80 (aqua arrow), which suggests underlying bullish momentum. Past Performance:…
Weekly Context Below we have added a triple moving average system to the SPX500 weekly chart. Despite the decline last week, the shorter-term green moving average is above the mid-term orange moving average, and the mid-term orange moving average is above the longer-term red moving average. Last week's pullback took place within this longer-term bullish formation. The weekly stochastic is above 80 and suggests an underlying bullish momentum (aqua arrow).…
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