US30 - H4
Increasingly hawkish Fed and the break of the Omicron variant have been the key factors of the instrument's four-week decline, which was its longest losing streak in more than a year.
The current week started with a relief rally that covered more than half of the aforementioned decline, but optimism around the Omicron variant was dented, after UK's tougher measures  and Dr Tedros' warning that Omicron "could have a major impact on the course of the pandemic" .
US30 has been facing difficulties since yesterday, which create increased risk for a breach of the 35,420-35,380 key area, where the EMA200 and the upper border of the Daily Ichimoku are located.
This region has the ability to provide support, but closes below it can open the door for a deeper slide towards and below the ascending trend-line from this month's low (at around 34,985-34,850).
As long as it stays above its EMA200 and Ichimoku Cloud, the Index can set new monthly highs (35,937), that will allow it to look towards its record highs (36,570).
Caution is still needed as volatility and uncertainty around Omicron remain high, while from the economic calendar, market participants await US Jobless Claims, before they turn to US CPI Inflation on Friday.
Past Performance: Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Senior Market Specialist
Nikos Tzabouras is a graduate of the Department of International & European Economic Studies at the Athens University of Economics and Business. He has a long time presence at FXCM, as he joined the company in 2011. He has served from multiple positions, but specializes in financial market analysis and commentary.
With his educational background in international relations, he emphasizes not only on Technical Analysis but also in Fundamental Analysis and Geopolitics – which have been having increasing impact on financial markets. He has longtime experience in market analysis and as a host of educational trading courses via online and in-person sessions and conferences.
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