US Market

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  • US2000 Breakout After 2021 Consolidation

    Past performance is not an indicator of future results FXCM's US2000, its proxy for the small-cap Russell 2000, has broken out of its 2021 consolidation (blue rectangle). We have applied a triple moving average to test the trendiness of the breakout. The green short EMA is above the orange mid-EMA, and the orange mid-EMA is above the red long EMA. We also note that the EMAs are developing angle and…

  • NAS100 Participants May Use FOMC to Take Profits

    Past performance is not an indicator of future results The NAS100 has had a terrific run since 12 October (blue vertical). From current close to low the index has appreciated about 9.5%. We refer to our previous article that considered the relative strength between the NAS100 and US30, which indicated that the NAS100 is generally inversely related to interest rates. Given this, the FOMC statement release and press conference today…

  • USDOLLAR At Important Potential Swing Low Ahead Of FOMC

    Past performance is not an indicator of future results The above shows FXCM's USDOLLAR basket on a weekly chart. Given the expectations of a tapering announcement from the FOMC statement today, the analysis here is important. Last week's candle is a potential swing low reference candle (aqua arrow). To be considered as such, this week's candle will need to close above the reference candle's high (aqua horizontal line). The FOMC…

  • Growth vs Cyclical Relationship In Focus As FOMC Announcement Looms

    Please note that past performance is not an indicator of future results. The top chart shows the weekly relative strength of FXCM's Nasdaq contract, the NAS100, to its Dow Industrials proxy, the US30. A movement to the northeast suggests outperformance by the NAS100 and a movement to the southeast suggests outperformance by the US30. The lower chart shows the weekly US10Y yield. Both charts have a black 30-week simple moving…

  • Top 5 US Stocks For Q4

    The US Stock markets have started the last quarter of the year on the offensive, after September's poor performance, closing in on their record highs. The latest earnings season is also underway, with results so far being encouraging. The current fourth quarter is an interesting one for many US companies as it includes the holiday season, during which consumers tend to spend more and change their day-to-day habits. Below we…

  • The USDOLLAR Shows Upwards Acceleration

    Past Performance: Past Performance is not an indicator of future results. After a 2020 which saw the greenback's value decline significantly (off the back of the Federal Reserve's unlimited quantitative easing), 2021 has seen the currency stabilise and begin to appreciate. The USDOLLAR has now shifted up a gear. Technically speaking there are a number of positives to the weekly chart above. The USDOLLAR has moved above its black 30-week…

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