PCE rises largely in line with expectations
Inflation in April rose as expected, with markets anxious about potential interest rate cuts, according to a key measure released Friday closely watched by the Federal Reserve. The core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, excluding food and energy, increased 0.2% monthly and 2.8% annually, matching estimates. Including food and energy, PCE inflation was 2.7% annually and 0.3% monthly, also in line with forecasts. Fed officials prefer the PCE over the consumer price index due to its broader scope and reflection of consumer behavior. April also saw a 0.3% rise in personal income and a 0.2% rise in spending, which fell short of expectations. Market reactions included rising stock futures and falling Treasury yields. Despite the steady inflation data, the Fed remains cautious, with rate cuts unlikely before September.
Russell Shor
Senior Market Strategist
Russell Shor is a Senior Market Strategist at FXCM, having been promoted to the role in 2025 in recognition of his depth of insight and consistent delivery of high-impact market analysis. He originally joined FXCM in October 2017 as a Senior Market Specialist.
Russell holds an Honours Degree in Economics from the University of South Africa, is a certified FMVA®, and a full member of the Society of Technical Analysts (UK). With over 20 years of experience in financial markets, his work is renowned for its clarity, precision, and strategic value across asset classes.
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