GBP/USD Supported Ahead of key Events & Tech Levels
GBP/USD Analysis
Markets have been preparing for a moderation in the pace of rate hikes by the US Fed, which runs its most aggressive tightening cycle in decades. Last week's minutes pointed to such a downshift, but officials also stressed the need for more increases and the likelihood for a higher terminal rate than previously expected. [1]
Chair Powell is giving a speech later today and markets will be looking for any insights into the intentions of policy makers. This comes just days before the communication blackout period kicks-in, ahead of the mid-December policy decision.
Apart from Mr Powell, we expect a series of economic data from the US that include the preliminary Q3 GDP today, the PCE inflation tomorrow and the Jobs Report on Friday. These can spur volatility and define the trajectory of GBP/USD.
The lower expectations around the Fed have harmed the greenback and have assisted the British Pound to a strong recovery from September's record lows, heading towards its best month in two years. GBP/USD is supported today and has the ability to extend its advance towards 1.2294-1.2300, but we are cautious for further gains that would challenge 1.2667.
The two-month relied-rally falters however at key technical levels, since GBP/USD runs a negative week, having rejected the 200Day EMA. Below it, there is scope for further slide, but a strong catalyst would needed for moves below the 1.1700-1.1650 region. This includes the 38.2% Fibonacci of the 2022 high/low plunge, the EMA200 and the ascending trend line from the record low.
Nikos Tzabouras
Senior Financial Editorial Writer
Nikos Tzabouras is a graduate of the Department of International & European Economic Studies at the Athens University of Economics and Business. With extensive experience in market analysis and a strong foundation in international relations, he brings a unique perspective to financial markets. Nikos emphasizes not only technical analysis but also on fundamentals and the growing influence of geopolitics on financial trends.
As a Senior Financial Editorial Writer, he delivers comprehensive and forward-looking insights across a wide range of asset classes, including equities, commodities, and currencies. His work explores how macroeconomic events, political developments, and global policies impact market dynamics, providing readers with a deeper understanding of both short-term movements and long-term trends.
References
| Retrieved 09 May 2026 https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcminutes20221102.htm |
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