Indices

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  • GER30 At All Time High

    Introduction The GER30, FXCM's proxy for the DAX, is running rampant. It has charted an all-time high this week. Moreover, this is its sixth week of price appreciation. Of note, the index is up 9.9% since its 6 October low. This is is an astounding rate of change. It raises the question of just how long should we expect this to continue? In the near term, it would make sense…

  • NAS100 Hourly At Potentially Strong Momentum Level

    Past performance is not an indicator of future results Further to our previous article, the NAS100 moved positively back into the daily chart's bullish area, between the lower blue and lower red bands. Moreover, the current daily RSI still has room to move before registering as overbought. Given this strength, the hourly trend-following indicators are in a bullish formation, with the shorter-term green EMA above the longer-term orange EMA. Our…

  • SPX500 at Short-term Support Following Yesterday’s Retail Number

    Past performance is not an indicator of future results The SPX500 reacted positively to yesterday's retail number, which beat consensus. Core Retail Sales came in at 1.7%, ahead of the 1% expected. The index was faded towards the market close and then traded down in the Asian session. However, SPX500 strength is maintained with the daily chart (left) in the bullish area between the upper blue and upper red bands.…

  • Intermarket Relationships Show Commodities To Be Strongest

    Past performance is not an indicator of future results Source: www.tradingview.com In the monthly chart above we show the long term relative strength between the major financial markets post the pandemic lows (dashed blue vertical): 1. Stocks [represented by the S&P 500 (SPX)]. 2. Bonds [represented by the iShares 7-10 Treasury ETF (IEF)]. 3. Commodities [represented by the Thomson Reuters CRB Index (TRJEFFCRB)]. The top chart shows the relative strength…

  • NAS100 Excess Has Cleared On Daily; Possible Dip in Uptrend

    Past performance is not an indicator of future results Previously we suggested that the NAS100 was in a good position for participants to start banking profits. Since then the index has pullback and the overbought condition has normalised. The left chart shows the NAS100 daily. It is trading on the border between the bullish and neutral areas. The hourly chart is on the right. A bullish EMA crossover and stochastic…

  • UK100 Breakout As Wall Street Heavyweight Upgrades UK Shares

    Past performance is not an indicator of future results The UK100, FXCM's proxy for the FTSE 100, has consolidated since May (blue rectangle). However, the index has broken out. The weekly stochastic has moved into the upper quintile (aqua ellipse), and as long as it holds these levels, an underlying bullish momentum is likely to be present. This, as JPMorgan upgrades UK shares to "overweight." The bank maintains that current…

  • SPX500 Fear Index Flashes Short-term Warning

    Past performance is not an indicator of future results The weekly SPX500 is trending up. It has a higher trough followed by a higher peak. At some stage, the current impulse (aqua line) will run out of momentum, and a correction will ensue. As long as the pullback finds support above the previous higher trough, the uptrend remains intact. The weekly RSI is not overbought, but the daily time frame…

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