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The USDJPY weekly chart has had five weeks of gains since its November low (aqua ellipse). One of the reasons for this is that the JPY is considered a haven. The fact that it has been depreciating against the USD indicates a risk-on sentiment. Given this, it is no surprise that equity markets had a strong December. However, we note that the currency pair's RSI has moved into an overbought…
King Dollar dominated the first trading of the year and the pair remains soft after yesterday’s drop
The pair started the new year on the defensive, following two solid weeks, but finds support at the start of the European session
The pair finished December and the full 2021 with profits and makes an upbeat start to the new year, extending the four-week profitable streak
The top chart shows the weekly US10 Yr. treasury. We have added moving averages as a measuring mechanism for yield appreciation. The green ellipse indicates that the quicker green moving average is near to crossing above the slower orange moving average. If this happens, and angle and separation develop, the odds favour further appreciation in the rate. The blue dashed vertical marks the time of the previous bullish cross (aqua…
The common currency comes under pressure at the start of the European session and registers fresh lows for the week, under 1.1300 against the greenback
The pair has been in a consolidation amidst holiday thinned trading, lacking impetus in the aftermath of recent intense central bank activity
Following a three-week profitable streak, the pair enters the final week of the year in the offensive, setting new month highs
Initial jobless claims came in at 205K, slighter higher than the 200K expected, and were constant week over week. At the same time, core durable goods and core PCE were released, with both numbers beating consensus. Core durable goods m/m printed at 0.8% (0.6% - forecast) and core PCE m/m was 0.5% (0.4% - forecast). The dollar has been under pressure this week, but these provided some support. FXCM's USDOLLAR…
USDOLLAR Trading Range FXCM's USDOLLAR basket has been moving sideways since the end of November (blue rectangle). Moving averages are trend-following indicators and are inclined to give whipsaw signals when the price is ranging (aqua ellipses). We note that the quicker green moving average has just crossed above the intermediate orange moving average (blue arrow). This aligns the moving averages bullishly, and if they develop angle and separation will be…
The top chart below shows the H4 relative strength ratio between FXCM's USDOLLAR basket and gold (XAUUSD). The ratio started to fall last week Wednesday (blue dashed vertical). I.e., the greenback was declining against the precious metal. The catalyst here was the spread of the omicron variant, and gold's regard as a safe haven. We do note that the EMAs and stochastic are rolling over (red ellipses), which may suggest…
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