Senior Market Specialist
Russell Shor joined FXCM in October 2017 as a Senior Market Specialist. He is a certified FMVA® and has an Honours Degree in Economics from the University of South Africa. Russell is a full member of the Society of Technical Analysts in the United Kingdom. With over 20 years of financial markets experience, his analysis is of a high standard and quality.
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Tesla has delivered fewer cars than expected over Q3. Wall Street estimates were at 455,000 units, but the company only delivered 435,059 units. Analysts have been progressively lowering their expectations due to slowing demand in China. However, part of the issue also revolved around production, with the company producing only 430.488 units.
The spread between the US 10-year bond and the Japanese 10-year bond continues to widen. This is the primary driver of the USDJPY currency pair. The correlation coefficient between the two is a remarkably robust 90%.
Rivian shares are gaining after the company was upgraded from hold to buy.
The US 10-year real yield remains elevated at the start of the week. This is putting pressure on the risk market and supporting the dollar as the current preferred haven. The question is how much higher can yields run?
The USDCAD has charted a higher trough. This is a show of strength and lays the platform for a potential higher peak for the currency pair.
The Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge of inflation is showing signs of moderation. Core PCE came in at 3.9% y/y, which was lower than last month’s 4.3% y/y. On a monthly basis, core PCE printed at 0.1% m/m, which was lower than the 0.2% m/m expected. This shows that the Fed’s efforts are yielding results, because the monthly number annualises to 1.2%, which is lower than the central bank’s target of…
Yesterday, Nike reported better than expected profit for the 3 months ended 31 August (the company’s fiscal first quarter). However, it just missed on Wall Street’s revenue expectations. EPS came in at 94 cents vs. 75 cents estimated, with revenue at $12.94 billion against a forecast of $12.98 billion.
The US real benchmark yield is normalising from an overbought condition. This is rippling through the market, with FXCM’s USDOLLAR also pulling back from an overbought condition. The corollary to this is that the EURUSD is also reacting.
A key driver of the financial markets is the higher real benchmark yield.
GameStop (GME.us) has gapped up on the market’s cash open, and is trading over 3.5% higher, after Ryan Cohen was appointed as president and chief executive officer. The appointment will take place with immediate effect.
The United Auto Workers may extend strike action.
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