Global Macro and Markets Briefing – 31 August 2026
Strong AI earnings are supporting markets, but sticky inflation, higher oil prices and renewed central-bank tightening are making the path for equities increasingly unforgiving.
Senior Market Strategist
Russell Shor is a Senior Market Strategist at FXCM, having been promoted to the role in 2025 in recognition of his depth of insight and consistent delivery of high-impact market analysis. He originally joined FXCM in October 2017 as a Senior Market Specialist.
Russell holds an Honours Degree in Economics from the University of South Africa, is a certified FMVA®, and a full member of the Society of Technical Analysts (UK). With over 20 years of experience in financial markets, his work is renowned for its clarity, precision, and strategic value across asset classes.
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Strong AI earnings are supporting markets, but sticky inflation, higher oil prices and renewed central-bank tightening are making the path for equities increasingly unforgiving.
Markets want Warsh to clarify how firmly the Fed will fight inflation, how much weight it gives higher bond yields, and what would trigger another rate hike.
The debasement trade is reshaping markets as concerns over debt, yields and currency credibility ripple across oil, the dollar, gold and Japanese equities.
SPX500 remains constructive above 7,600, but elevated valuations and key macro catalysts leave little room for earnings disappointment.
UKOil remains technically bullish, but its next major move hinges on Hormuz disruption and tougher US sanctions on Iran.
Resilient growth, rising yields and energy risks are putting increasingly expensive markets under pressure.
Value investing seeks overlooked worth, while growth investing pursues future expansion; both demand disciplined analysis and a sensible purchase price.
Gold’s breakout has gathered momentum as falling long-term yields and a softer dollar give bulls a powerful fundamental tailwind.
Oil, yields and the dollar are increasingly setting the direction for gold and Japanese equities.
The S&P 500’s pullback from record highs is testing technical support just as rising oil and bond yields collide with softer growth signals, making RSI 50 a key line in the sand.
Softer US data has reduced near-term Fed risks, but rising oil prices and stubbornly high long-term yields still threaten richly valued markets.
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