BoJ hikes rates again: what it means for the Nikkei
The BoJ raised rates in the fastest tightening cycle since 1990, but two dissenters add a dovish spin and the Nikkei's outlook relies more on the AI boom than monetary policy.
The BoJ raised rates in the fastest tightening cycle since 1990, but two dissenters add a dovish spin and the Nikkei's outlook relies more on the AI boom than monetary policy.
Markets now face a tougher trade-off as resilient growth supports earnings while sticky inflation and higher rates raise the bar for risk assets.
Sticky inflation and a worsening oil supply shock are pushing global markets towards a broader tightening cycle.
Strong US growth, an energy-driven inflation shock and rising global bond yields are keeping markets resilient but increasingly vulnerable to a renewed round of central-bank tightening.
The yen’s rally looks driven more by a hawkish repricing of the BOJ than fresh intervention, though intervention risk remains firmly in play.
Strong AI earnings are supporting markets, but sticky inflation, higher oil prices and renewed central-bank tightening are making the path for equities increasingly unforgiving.
USD/KRW slips as the BoK delivers back-to-back hikes to contain inflation driven by the energy shock and the AI boom.
Resilient growth, rising yields and energy risks are putting increasingly expensive markets under pressure.
The S&P 500’s pullback from record highs is testing technical support just as rising oil and bond yields collide with softer growth signals, making RSI 50 a key line in the sand.
Oil, the USDOLLAR, XAUUSD and JPN225 are nearing decisive levels that could reveal the market’s next major conviction trade.
JPN225 offers investors far more reward for taking equity risk than SPX500, but that advantage comes with heavy exposure to technology, semiconductors and AI.
Order Execution Only
Regulatory Documents:
CIRO: Avoiding Fraud and Protecting Your Investments, How CIRO Protects Investors, CIRO Complaints Brochure, CIPF Brochure, CIPF Coverage Policy, CIRO Order Execution Only Bulletin, Conflict Disclosure Statement, Covid-19 and Cyber Security - Tips for Investors, Relationship Disclosure Information Document, Notice of Acknowledgment, Before You Begin Trading
The relationship between Friedberg Direct and FXCM was formed with the purpose to allow Canadian residents access to FXCM's suite of products, while maintaining their accounts with a regulated Canadian firm. All accounts are opened by and held with Friedberg Direct, a division of Friedberg Mercantile Group Ltd., a member of the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO). Friedberg customer accounts are protected by the Canadian Investor Protection Fund within specified limits. A brochure describing the nature and limits of coverage is available upon request or at www.cipf.ca.
* The percentage of our retail client accounts that were profitable in each of the previous most recent quarters was: Quarter 2, 2026: 30% | Quarter 1, 2026: 40% | Quarter 4, 2025: 49% | Quarter 3, 2025: 37%. These figures are provided for transparency purposes only and do not constitute an indication of future performance or results.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, Friedberg Direct, FXCM or its affiliates takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of Friedberg Direct and FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the Friedberg Direct's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed here.**