Russell Shor

Russell Shor

Senior Market Specialist

Russell Shor joined FXCM in October 2017 as a Senior Market Specialist. He is a certified FMVA® and has an Honours Degree in Economics from the University of South Africa. Russell is a full member of the Society of Technical Analysts in the United Kingdom. With over 20 years of financial markets experience, his analysis is of a high standard and quality.

  • FXCM Market Talk – Your Trading & Finance Podcast (Ep 33)

    033 - Tighter Monetary Policy, Geopolitical Risks, and Poor Forward Guidance Lead to Risk-Off Sentiment Geopolitical risks at the Ukraine/Russian border, the prospects of tighter monetary policy, and poor forward guidance by Netflix have prompted a shift to risk-off sentiment. Friday saw a big selldown, which continued until a late rally on Monday. In this episode, FXCM Senior Market Specialists Russell and Nikos discuss the prospects for "work from home"…

  • Despite Selldown, Netflix May Be Worth Keeping on Your Watchlist

    New Industry Paradigm Assumption Industries move through a series of stages as they evolve, each with their general characteristics. Growth companies tend to exhibit the following: Products that consumers know. There is a demand for the product. Price declines are evident as industry efficiencies occur. Competitors enter the industry; however, the "pie" is big enough to limit rivalry. Before lockdown, the streaming video entertainment industry was in the growth stage.…

  • US Large Cap Indexes Trade In Their Bearish Zones

    The daily chart shows the Dow Jones Industrials (US30) on the left, the SPX (SPX500) in the middle, and the Nasdaq (NAS100) on the right. All three indexes trade in their bear areas between the red and blue bands. Notably, their respective Bollinger Bands have expanded as the downside volatility increases. Of concern are their stochastic indicators. Each is positioned below 20 (green rectangle), which is indicative of underlying bearish…

  • Middle East Tensions Fuel Brent Price Increase

    Middle East Tensions Crude prices have risen as tensions escalate in the Middle East. There is a fear of supply disruptions following an attack by Yemen's Houthi group against the UAE. The Houthis are aligned with Iran. whilst the UAE is a part of the Saudi Arabian-led coalition. The Houthis used missiles and drones, which exploded fuel trucks, killing three people, and started a fire near the Abu Dhabi airport.…

  • FXCM Market Talk – Your Trading & Finance Podcast (Ep 32)

    Last week saw headline US inflation running at its fastest pace since the early 1980s. This week will see inflation releases for the UK, Canada, Euro Area, and Japan. Bank earnings were subdued but remain an interesting industry as we move into a tightening cycle. Netflix releases results on Thursday.

  • USDOLLAR Short-Term Chart Analysis Shows Bearish Bias

    The left chart shows that FXCM's dollar basket, USDOLLAR, is positioned in the weak area on the daily time frame. I.e., between the lower blue and red bands. The hourly time frame has retraced to the 50% level of its previous impulse move down. Its stochastic has already turned negative and the EMAs are threatening to cross bearishly (aqua ellipses). If the stochastic continues down and hits the 20 level…

  • FXCM’s US Banks Basket Gaps Down to Pivot Support On Earnings Releases

    FXCM's US Banks basket includes equal weighting of JPM, BAC, WFC, C, and COF. Given that JPM, WFC, and C released their Q4 earnings before the market opened today, the US Banks basket makes for an interesting analysis. JPM's EPS beat estimates coming in at $3.33 ($3.01 - estimate). However, this includes a release of $1.8bn in loan reserves, without which it would have missed the estimate. WFC's EPS came…

  • First Crack Appears on Bitcoin Weekly Chart

    Weekly Below is the weekly bitcoin chart. We have added a triple moving average to gauge the longer-term trend. In this regard, the first crack has appeared. The fast green moving average has crossed below the slow red moving average (aqua ellipse). If the medium-paced orange moving average follows suit and crosses below the red moving average, the weekly chart's moving averages would be lined up in a bearish formation.…

  • The Fed is Noticeably Behind the Curve

    Introduction The USD has been pulling back since its peaked in December. Moreover, the greenback has declined markedly since the CPI release yesterday, which showed inflation increasing at its fastest pace in 40-years. The pullback in the greenback may be a function of the "buy the rumour, sell the fact" phenomenon. I.e., markets are forward-looking, and FXCM's USDOLLAR basket accelerated its momentum upwards as far back as September last year.…

  • EURUSD Charting Potential Continuation Pattern

    Since the end of August last year, the EURUSD has been under pressure. In this regard, it has charted a lower peak followed by a lower trough. November marks the last significant low (aqua ellipse). Since then, the EURUSD has been resilient and has ground its way higher. However, it now approaches the 50% retracement of its last leg down. Moreover, price action resembles a classical charting pattern of a…

  • 10-2 Treasury Yield Curve Almost Compels Fed Balance Sheet Runoff

    10-2 Treasury Yield Spread The 10-2 yield curve will be a concern for the Fed. Since April 2021 it has been flattening considerably (blue square area). The Fed has indicated three rate hikes for 2022, and the market sees a distinct possibility for a fourth. However, the Fed (and central banks in general) tend to operate on the short-term side of the yield curve. This means that, in isolation, these…

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