Senior Market Strategist
Russell Shor is a Senior Market Strategist at FXCM, having been promoted to the role in 2025 in recognition of his depth of insight and consistent delivery of high-impact market analysis. He originally joined FXCM in October 2017 as a Senior Market Specialist.
Russell holds an Honours Degree in Economics from the University of South Africa, is a certified FMVA®, and a full member of the Society of Technical Analysts (UK). With over 20 years of experience in financial markets, his work is renowned for its clarity, precision, and strategic value across asset classes.
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Bitcoin has broken above the psychological $30,000, reaching its highest point since the crypto crash last year. The surge has been defining 2023, with Bitcoin up 80% since the start of the year, leading many to suggest a new bull market is underway. Investors are likely to experience "fear of missing out" as a result of the current price trend, which is expected to generate a lot of attention. While…
The non-farm employment change shows that the labour market is slowing but still resilient. This week will see CPI and retail sales released. Tightening seems to be making an impact. FOMC minutes will be released on Wednesday with Australian employment data and UK GDP and industrial production out on Thursday. Q1 earning seasons is set to kick off this week with airlines and banks.
Bitcoin's rally is largely based on an expectation that the Fed will shift from a tightening policy to possibly cutting rates. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets see a potential decline of rates to 4.25% by year-end. In effect, there has been a repricing of rate-hike bets as market participants focus on financial stability risk.
The GER30 daily chart is trading in its bullish channel between its upper blue and red bands. It RSI is trading above 50 (green rectangle). The longer it maintains on the bullish side of 50 the greater the probability of higher prices ahead. The hourly chart shows a strong start to today’s trade. The trend following EMAs and the momentum-based stochastic have turned up (black ellipses). If the stochastic makes…
The USDOLLAR daily chart is trading in its bearish channel between it lower blue and red bands. Its RSI is trading below 50. The longer it maintains on the bearish side of 50, the more pressure will be applied to the greenback. Data out this week has pointed to an economic softening.
Gold has breached the psychological $2,000 level and has an underlying positive momentum. The precious metal was up over 7% in March with its all-time high of 2,074 now in sight. It’s appreciated over 25% since its November 2021 low.
The gold daily chart has a strong inverse correlation to the USDOLLAR. The correlation coefficient between the two is a hardy -93%. I.e., gold is benefitting as the greenback comes under pressure.
FXCM’s USDOLLAR basket appears to be charting a head and shoulders top. This pattern is a reversal in trend from uptrend to downtrend. The pattern is yet to complete, and we note the pattern completion gap i.e., the price to neckline gap. However, the weekly RSI is below 50 (green rectangle), which suggests a bearish momentum is present. The longer the indicator maintains below 50, the more pressure will be…
As PCE shows signs of moderation, OPEC+ announces supply cut of more than 1m barrels per day from May. FXCM senior market specialists, Russell Shor and Nikos Tzabouras discuss its potential impact on inflation. This Friday sees the NFP release and the RBA and RBNZ are due to announce expected rate hikes on Tuesday and Wednesday respectively. This week also has PMI releases. Please join us for the conversation.
The NAS100 weekly has charted a series of higher troughs (HT) followed by higher peaks. Trendlines are instructive in terms of measuring momentum. In this regard, the trendline gradient has shifted up from green to orange. I.e., the momentum of the NAS100’s trend has accelerated. The RSI indicator is above 50 (green rectangle). The longer it maintains on the bullish side of 50, the higher the likelihood of further price…
It fell to 50, which separates expansion from contraction for February, from 51.60, which was an eight-month high.
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