Senior Market Strategist
Russell Shor is a Senior Market Strategist at FXCM, having been promoted to the role in 2025 in recognition of his depth of insight and consistent delivery of high-impact market analysis. He originally joined FXCM in October 2017 as a Senior Market Specialist.
Russell holds an Honours Degree in Economics from the University of South Africa, is a certified FMVA®, and a full member of the Society of Technical Analysts (UK). With over 20 years of experience in financial markets, his work is renowned for its clarity, precision, and strategic value across asset classes.
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Introduction According to filings with the SEC that were published on Monday, Tesla CEO Elon Musk sold 934,091 shares of the company. The value is near $906m. He also exercised options at a strike of $6.24, purchasing 2.13m shares. According to the filings, the transactions were part of a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan, dated 14 September. This is in addition to his previous sales earlier in the month of two…
The dollar's momentum has slowed as we head towards the FOMC statement release tomorrow (15 December) at 7:00 pm GMT. This is to be expected, as the tone of the statement will be a key focal point for market participants. However, December has been a less volatile month for the greenback. At the time of writing the December range of FXCM's USDOLLAR basket is only about 35% of November's range.…
Weekly Chart The weekly DAX (GER30) has confirmed a swing low. The reference low is the candle ending 3 December (aqua arrow). Last week, the price closed above the reference candle's high (aqua horizontal). This has set up a platform for a potential upswing. Whilst it does not guarantee an upswing, an upswing cannot take place without a confirmed swing low. We also note that the black 30-week EMA has…
Friday's headline CPI release indicates that US inflation is rising at its fastest pace since 1982. Month on month showed a rise 0f 0.8% and a 6.8% increase on an annual basis. Core CPI, which strips the series of volatile items, came in at 0.5% m/m and 4.9% y/y. The core increase is the steepest since 1991. Despite the high reading, large-cap US indexes gained on Friday and the week.…
The chart below on the left is gold's daily time frame. Price is moving into the area of weakness, between the lower blue and lower red bands. The daily stochastic has dropped below 20 (blue rectangle). As long as the stochastic maintains these levels, the precious metal is likely to be under pressure. In this regard the heikin ashi candle, which helps determine trend, has turned red over the last…
On Tuesday 7 December the Reserve Bank of Australia kept is cash rate at 0.10%, in line with the consensus forecast. The statement suggests that inflation generation is still a concern for the central bank, "…inflation has picked up, [but] it remains low in underlying terms. Inflation pressures are also less than … many other countries… because of…modest wages growth in Australia." Thus, a key determinant on monetary policy is…
In our estimate, the DAX weekly is now at a critical juncture in terms of this week's price action. The candlestick of two weeks back is a long red candlestick down (aqua arrow). The range of the candle shows the fearsome selloff as news of the omicron variant emerged. However, last week, the DAX settled and a spinning top was charted. This is a candle of uncertainty, with neither the…
Further to yesterday's article, the Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 0.25%, which was expected. The market has been pricing in a rate hike as early as March next year, and possibly even earlier, but the BoC reaffirmed its guidance that the first hike should come "in the middle quarters of 2022." This was more dovish than the market expected, and the USDCAD reacted by jumping higher on…
Weekly Chart Using 19 July as a starting reference, the UK100 has charted a higher trough followed by a higher peak. This is an uptrend. Last week's candle is setting up to potentially be the next higher trough in the series (HT?). If this week's candle closes above last week's high (aqua horizontal), the higher trough will be confirmed. This will create a platform for the UK100 to chart the…
The CAD has benefitted from the appreciation in oil over the last few days. Moreover, yesterday's Ivey PMI beat forecast, printing at 61.2 (60.2). The Bank of Canada is due to release its December rate statement and overnight rate today at 3:00 pm GMT. This is likely to introduce volatility. Rates are expected to remain at 0.25%, with hikes expected by markets in March next year. This would be earlier…
Bitcoin is currently trading at $51,000. This is ~26% down from its 10 November high of 60,900. An astounding quarter of its value was wiped out in just under a month. It's also a 50% retracement from its July low (green horizontal). However, in terms of peak and trough analysis and despite its mammoth decline, BTCUSD has a higher trough followed by a higher peak. This is the definition of…
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