Senior Market Strategist
Russell Shor is a Senior Market Strategist at FXCM, having been promoted to the role in 2025 in recognition of his depth of insight and consistent delivery of high-impact market analysis. He originally joined FXCM in October 2017 as a Senior Market Specialist.
Russell holds an Honours Degree in Economics from the University of South Africa, is a certified FMVA®, and a full member of the Society of Technical Analysts (UK). With over 20 years of experience in financial markets, his work is renowned for its clarity, precision, and strategic value across asset classes.
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Daily Further to our previous article, the below shows the daily charts for the US30 (left), SPX500 (middle) and the NAS100 (right). All three indexes had a strong day yesterday with long blue candles. Of significance, the NAS100 has now pushed out of its area of weakness, between the lower blue and lower red bands, into the neutral area, between the blue bands. If the indexes can push further upwards…
Weekly Using a triple moving average (SMA) system helps to determine trends on charts. If the quick SMA is above the intermediate SMA, and the intermediate SMA is above the slow SMA, it is considered bullish. The more angle and separation between the SMAs, the more bullish the trend. Likewise, if the quick SMA is below the intermediate SMA, and the intermediate SMA is below the slow SMA, the MAs…
USDOLLAR Trading Range FXCM's USDOLLAR basket has been moving sideways since the end of November (blue rectangle). Moving averages are trend-following indicators and are inclined to give whipsaw signals when the price is ranging (aqua ellipses). We note that the quicker green moving average has just crossed above the intermediate orange moving average (blue arrow). This aligns the moving averages bullishly, and if they develop angle and separation will be…
The Fed has signalled three rate hikes for 2022 and an acceleration in the taper of its asset purchase program. In a tightening environment, and as yields increase, portfolios may change in terms of asset allocation. Fundamental valuation metrics consider the impact that rates have on cash flows. Growth stocks tend to retain and reinvest earnings, whilst value candidates are usually established and more mature in nature. As such they…
Daily The daily charts below show the US30 (left), SPX500 (middle) and NAS100 (right). Today's candles, ahead of market open, are blue, indicating current prices are above respective opens for the session. The NAS100 continues to show relative weakness and is still in its area of weakness, between the lower blue and lower red bands. The SPX500 is attempting to move from its area of weakness into the neutral area,…
The top chart below shows the H4 relative strength ratio between FXCM's USDOLLAR basket and gold (XAUUSD). The ratio started to fall last week Wednesday (blue dashed vertical). I.e., the greenback was declining against the precious metal. The catalyst here was the spread of the omicron variant, and gold's regard as a safe haven. We do note that the EMAs and stochastic are rolling over (red ellipses), which may suggest…
The Turkish lira strengthened by as much as 15% after President Erdogan announced a plan to guarantee local deposits against market volatility. Accordingly, the government will pay the difference between the value of savings in lira and equivalent dollar deposits. The market has been heavily short lira, and the jump in value is likely a short squeeze. Moreover, the weekly chart's overbought condition has now been normalised (blue rectangle). The…
Stocks were sold down on Friday and have started this week under pressure. Below are the daily charts of the US30, SPX500, and NAS100. Of the three the NAS100 is the weakest, trading firmly in its weak area between the lower blue and lower red bands. The sell-off during the Asian session has also driven the SPX500 into its area of weakness. The US30, whilst weak, has not definitively moved…
The Turkish lira dropped to record lows against the dollar after its central bank lowered its repo rate by 100bps to 14% yesterday. This is despite an inflation rate that has surged in 2021 to above 17%. Moreover, the inflation rate has ticked up in recent months after the bizarre implementation of monetary policy, which flies in the face of traditional economic theory. The weekly chart below displays the capitulation…
As we head into the next tightening cycle, it is informative to consider the relationship between the dollar and gold. To this end, below is the weekly relative strength chart of FXCM's USDOLLAR basket and our XAUUSD instrument. The chart has a cyclical component to it. Between 2011-2013, the ratio formed a base or accumulation pattern (first green rectangle). When this completed, the greenback appreciated against the precious metal in…
The left chart below shows BTCUSD's daily time frame. Its heiken ashi candle is red and inside of the weak area, between the lower blue and red bands. The daily stochastic is below 20 and indicative of bearish momentum. The right chart is BTCUSD's hourly time frame. The stochastic has turned down and the EMAs are threatening to cross bearishly (aqua ellipses). If they succeed, it will be negative for…
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