US Market

The S&P 500 remains fundamentally supported, but 7,650 must hold and 7,780 must break as rising yields and inflation risk test the bull case.

Rising bond yields are forcing the equity bull case to rely less on cheaper money and more on sustained earnings growth.

AI optimism is supporting equities, but persistent inflation and high bond yields are becoming the bigger threat to markets.

The SPX500’s bullish breakout, strengthening momentum and improving fundamentals point to further upside towards fresh highs, provided the RSI holds above 50.

Markets now face a tougher trade-off as resilient growth supports earnings while sticky inflation and higher rates raise the bar for risk assets.

The SPX500 is testing key support at 7,580 as weakening momentum and tighter financial conditions offset still-resilient earnings.

Sticky inflation and a worsening oil supply shock are pushing global markets towards a broader tightening cycle.

Strong earnings are keeping the bull market alive, but rising oil, near-5% Treasury yields and doubts over AI returns are leaving far less room for disappointment.

SPX500 maintains its upside bias but its trajectory will be shaped by key events this week, including Oracle earnings, oil prices, the CPI print and the deficit update.

The S&P 500 remains locked in a technical and fundamental stalemate around 7,700, with neutral momentum, resilient growth, higher oil prices and renewed Fed tightening risk leaving inflation data as the most likely catalyst for the next decisive move.

Strong US growth, an energy-driven inflation shock and rising global bond yields are keeping markets resilient but increasingly vulnerable to a renewed round of central-bank tightening.