US30 Moves into Bullish Zone on Daily

  • US30

The US30 jumped 2% yesterday, pushing the index into its bullish area between the upper blue and red bands. The daily stochastic is heading towards the 80+ area (green rectangle). If it hits and maintains, an underlying bullish momentum will be present.


Yesterday's article suggested a possible pullback scenario for the 10-year real rate. Consider the chart above, which shows the real rate at the top and the US30 underneath. There seems to be an inverse relationship at work between the two.

As the real rate appreciated in September, the US30 declined (green arrows). A likely reason for this is the time value of money relationship between rates of return and present value.

Trade the News: View our Economic Calendar

The real rate then stabilised, as did the US30 (black rectangles). If the overbought condition normalises and we see the real rate pullback, this will likely support the US30 (red arrows).

I.e. if the US30 maintains its bullish zone, this scenario may play out.

Russell Shor

Senior Market Specialist

Russell Shor joined FXCM in October 2017 as a Senior Market Specialist. He is a certified FMVA® and has an Honours Degree in Economics from the University of South Africa. Russell is a full member of the Society of Technical Analysts in the United Kingdom. With over 20 years of financial markets experience, his analysis is of a high standard and quality.

${} / ${getInstrumentData.ticker} /

Exchange: ${}

${} ${getInstrumentData.divCcy} ${getInstrumentData.priceChange} (${getInstrumentData.percentChange}%) ${getInstrumentData.priceChange} (${getInstrumentData.percentChange}%)

${getInstrumentData.oneYearLow} 52/wk Range ${getInstrumentData.oneYearHigh}

Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed here.

Past Performance: Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.

Spreads Widget: When static spreads are displayed, the figures reflect a time-stamped snapshot as of when the market closes. Spreads are variable and are subject to delay. Single Share prices are subject to a 15 minute delay. The spread figures are for informational purposes only. FXCM is not liable for errors, omissions or delays, or for actions relying on this information.