GER30 Advances on Optimism Around the Ukraine Situation
Ukraine News
The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation announced today that "The units of the Southern and Western military districts, having completed their tasks, have already begun loading onto rail and road transport and will begin moving to their military garrisons today. Separate units will march on their own as part of military columns." [1] Russia's joint military drills with neighboring Belarus however are still ongoing.
The United States have repeatedly warned of imminent Russian invasion in Ukraine, with US national security adviser Jake Sullivan saying that "a major military action could begin by Russia in Ukraine any day now", in Sunday's interview on CNN's State of the Union [2].
Yesterday, US secretary of State Anthony Blinken announced the relocation of the US Embassy in Ukraine "due to the dramatic acceleration in the buildup of Russian forces", heightening fears of war [3].
Focus now shifts on today's meeting between German Chancellor Olaf Scholz Russian President Putin to discuss the situation. Germany and Europe depend on Russian gas and Mr Scholz has been coy around the Nord Stream 2 pipeline.
In his visit to the White House last week, he did not follow President Biden's explicit wording that "there will be no longer a Nord Stream 2" if Russia invades Ukraine,
only commenting that "We will be united, we will act together, and we will take all the necessary steps".
GER30 Reaction
The German Index gains more than 1.5% today, reacting positively to the latest news. This brings the 15,500 area in its crosshairs, which contains the EMA200 and the descending trend-line from January's highs. Above this levels immediate downside risk would ease, but the Daily Ichimokou Cloud could pose challenges to further aspirations (at around 15,850).
Despite today's optimism, the situation remains tense and GER30 is still in a precarious position after its three-decline. As such, there is risk for fresh 2022 lows (14,840-10), although sustained sub-14,500 don't appear easy at this point.
Nikos Tzabouras
Senior Financial Editorial Writer
Nikos Tzabouras is a graduate of the Department of International & European Economic Studies at the Athens University of Economics and Business. With extensive experience in market analysis and a strong foundation in international relations, he brings a unique perspective to financial markets. Nikos emphasizes not only technical analysis but also on fundamentals and the growing influence of geopolitics on financial trends.
As a Senior Financial Editorial Writer, he delivers comprehensive and forward-looking insights across a wide range of asset classes, including equities, commodities, and currencies. His work explores how macroeconomic events, political developments, and global policies impact market dynamics, providing readers with a deeper understanding of both short-term movements and long-term trends.
References
| Retrieved 15 Feb 2022 https://eng.mil.ru/en/news_page/country/more.htm | |
| Retrieved 15 Feb 2022 https://edition.cnn.com/2022/02/13/politics/jake-sullivan-cnntv/index.html | |
| Retrieved 15 Feb 2022 https://www.state.gov/operations-at-u-s-embassy-kyiv/ |
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