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  • USOil Bid Up On Supply Disruptions

    Weekly Chart Oil prices rose off of the supply disruptions in Kazakhstan and Libya, effectively ignoring any demand scares from rising Omicron infections. The interruptions are due to protests in Kazakhstan affecting transport channels and pipeline maintenance in Libya. The weekly chart below shows that USOil has charted a higher trough, and, if it can push above 85 (aqua horizontal), will chart a higher peak. If this happens, USOil will…

  • Gold Likely To Face Pressure If Yields Rise

    The charts below show an interesting relationship between gold and bonds. The top chart is XAUUSD, the middle chart is IEF - iShares 7-10yr Bond ETF, and the bottom chart is the US 10 Yr. Treasury yield. The red trendline shows the period between the third quarter of 2018 to the middle of 2020. During this period, gold and bond prices both appreciated, whilst yields declined. The orange trendline represents…

  • Rising Yields a Potential Headwind for XAUUSD in 2022

    Gold (chart A) has effectively moved sideways on an absolute basis since July 2020 (area between blue verticals). Of interest, this has tracked a similar trajectory for FXCM's USDOLLAR basket (Chart B). As such, and with no surprise, the relative strength ratio (Chart C) between the two reflects neutrality in performance (USDOLLAR has slightly outperformed XAUUSD, as per the positively sloped red dashed line in chart C). The green dashed…

  • USOil Short-Term Layout Setting Up Bullishly

    Oil prices are showing signs of life following a larger drawdown in US Inventories than forecast. Crude stocks were down by 4.7m barrels, larger than the 2.4m expected. Oil, in general, is also benefitting from the switch by European utilities to heating oil from natural gas to contain costs. The market is also been buoyed by a study out of South Africa that suggested a lower risk of serious illness…

  • Gold Weaker Ahead of CPI Release

    The chart below on the left is gold's daily time frame. Price is moving into the area of weakness, between the lower blue and lower red bands. The daily stochastic has dropped below 20 (blue rectangle). As long as the stochastic maintains these levels, the precious metal is likely to be under pressure. In this regard the heikin ashi candle, which helps determine trend, has turned red over the last…

  • How To Trade Oil Futures

    The global energy complex is a vast trading arena that accounts for billions of dollars in derivatives turnover on a daily basis. Whether one is interested in commodities such as natural gas and crude oil futures, or the gasoline and heating oil refinements, active traders have countless opportunities available. What Is Crude Oil? According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), crude oil is "a mixture of hydrocarbons that exists…


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