Senior Market Strategist
Russell Shor is a Senior Market Strategist at FXCM, having been promoted to the role in 2025 in recognition of his depth of insight and consistent delivery of high-impact market analysis. He originally joined FXCM in October 2017 as a Senior Market Specialist.
Russell holds an Honours Degree in Economics from the University of South Africa, is a certified FMVA®, and a full member of the Society of Technical Analysts (UK). With over 20 years of experience in financial markets, his work is renowned for its clarity, precision, and strategic value across asset classes.
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In this webinar, we examine the flattening 10/2s yield curve and discuss the prospects of stagflation.
Oil gapped up on open, with Brent crude reaching $130.67 and WTI's high at $127.53. The price jumps reflect fears of supply disruptions due to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, with the possibility of a ban on Russian oil and natural gas now being considered.
The inverted yield curve is a cause for concern. Therefore, we offer a possible scenario in which it may steepen.
The fact that the bears have not been able to take the US30 lower, given the invasion of Ukraine, and the emotion of fear associated with a risk-off sentiment, is intriguing. As such, we continue to monitor for bullish follow-through. A swing low will have charted if the price does take out last week's high. This appreciation would be considered a bullish development. However, caution will still be the order…
In yesterday's testimony before the House Financial Service Committee on Capitol Hill, Fed Chair Jerome Powell suggested a 25bps hike on 16 March. This increase comes as the financial market reel following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Mr. Powell said that "[i]t's too soon to say for sure, but for now...we will proceed carefully along the lines of [the] plan" proposed before the Ukraine invasion (barrons.com). Inflation is at levels that…
Wheat prices have escalated as the Russian invasion of Ukraine continues. Prices have traded limit up two days in a row and three times since the invasion began. Both Russia and Ukraine are major exporters, with Russia contributing to 17% of the international wheat trade and Ukraine at 12%.
The current price action is an inside period (the weekly candle is still to complete). I.e., the week's high and low are within last week's range. Neither the bulls nor the bears have taken the price to a new high or low, suggesting indecision amongst market participants.
US markets are showing signs of resilience. Below are the daily charts of FXCM’s CFDs for the Dow Jones Industrial (US30), the S&P 500 (SPX500), and the Nasdaq (NAS100). Zone analysis indicates support
Startling satellite imagery shows a massive convoy of Russian military vehicles advancing towards Kyiv. The convoy is estimated to be 65 km long. The images are from Sunday or Monday, and given how fast things are changing on the ground, the convoy shape may have altered. Nevertheless, there is growing concern that Russia is preparing to launch a full-scale assault on the Ukrainian capital. Other satellite images suggest a military…
In this article, we use two Bollinger bands and a stochastic as yardsticks to measure the progression of a bear market in the S&P 500. It is worth noting that the analysis will be subject to a time-period bias. We will be using the global financial crisis (GFC) to detail the measures and then apply them to current market conditions. Nevertheless, the inferences from the GFC will likely be helpful…
As Friday closed for trading, imposed sanctions seemed underwhelming. This tone changed on Saturday as some Russian Banks were excluded from SWIFT, and the Russian central bank was sanctioned. Geopolitical risks intensify as Russia continues its invasion of Ukraine. Wednesday and Thursday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell testifies before the House Financial Services and Senate Banking Committees. The RBA will announce its cash rate on Tuesday with no change expected, and…
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