Russell Shor

U.S. stocks enter the 2026 Q4 earnings season after a strong three-year run, but the forces that powered the rally, especially AI enthusiasm and resilient growth, now feel less automatic. Investors are becoming more selective, watching margins, labour costs and rates as the macro backdrop turns patchier and Fed policy uncertainty returns. With tariff noise quiet and banks reporting first, earnings guidance and capital-spending signals may carry more narrative weight…

Alphabet is pressing into overhead resistance near $325. The EMAs have turned bullish, with the shorter green EMA now above the longer orange EMA, and the RSI holding above 50. If momentum stays intact and the EMAs begin to widen with positive slope, the probability of a breakout above the resistance zone increases.

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Silver is pushing to fresh records on Fed-cut expectations and tight supply, with speculative inflows adding fuel, though overbought signals suggest any dip is likely to be seen as a buying opportunity.

US lets Nvidia sell H200 chips to approved Chinese buyers, taking 25%, reinforcing semiconductor rivalry dynamics.

EURUSD is turning constructive into year-end, supported by bullish price structure, firm RSI and a widening policy gap as German 2-year yields strengthen against US equivalents. With markets expecting a Fed cut and Schnabel hinting the ECB’s next move could be a hike, monetary-policy divergence is increasingly guiding the pair higher.

China's leaders confirmed recent policy shifts aimed at boosting growth, focusing on higher government spending, long-term bonds, and lower interest rates. A 5% growth target is expected for next year, with more details to be revealed in March.

OPEC+ has extended oil production cuts to 2026 due to weak demand, keeping output capped at 39.725 million bpd. Despite these measures, analysts expect prices to remain low amid uncertainty and potential policy shifts under President-elect Trump.

Bitcoin surpassed $100,000 for the first time, fueled by optimism over SEC leadership under Paul Atkins. Market value reached $2.03 trillion, sparking speculation on future gains despite concerns over volatility.

Oil prices fell over 4% as Israeli airstrikes in Iran avoided oil facilities, calming supply fears. Rising production levels have also added to oversupply pressures on the market.

The dollar climbed to a two-and-a-half-month high, fueled by stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data, indicating the Federal Reserve may cut rates by only 50 basis points this year. With a strong correlation between rising real rates and the dollar's performance, the outlook remains positive for the greenback.