The CPI surprise yesterday led to a 3.9% decline in the US30. This plunge puts the index back in its bear zone between the lower blue and red bands. Moreover, the daily stochastic is rolling over (green rectangle). If it drops below 20 and holds (red arrow), a strong bearish momentum will be underlying.
The hourly chart on the right will be instructive. The index will be under pressure if the EMAs develop angle and separation and the stochastic crosses negatively (blue ellipses). However, even if these bearish developments don't occur, shorts may be eyeing resistance levels above to enter better risk-adjusted positions.
Senior Market Specialist
Russell Shor joined FXCM in October 2017 as a Senior Market Specialist. He is a certified FMVA® and has an Honours Degree in Economics from the University of South Africa. Russell is a full member of the Society of Technical Analysts in the United Kingdom. With over 20 years of financial markets experience, his analysis is of a high standard and quality.