Russell Shor

GameStop (GME.us) shares are set to gap lower on today's gap cash open, after the videogame retailer reported worse-than-expected revenue for its fourth quarter ended January. Adjusted EPS came in at 22 cents, with analysts forecasting 30 cents per share. Sales were also below the consensus of $2.05 billion at $1.79 billion. Hardware and accessories sales fell to $1.09 billion, down from $1.24 billion, and software sales declined 31% to…

The EURUSD is slipping as we enter this week’s trading period. Its green 5-week EMA is crossing below its orange 10-week EMA (black ellipse) as a sign of potential weakness. Its weekly RSI has dipped below 50 (green rectangle). The longer this indicator maintains on the bearish side of 50, the greater downside momentum pressure the EURUSD currency pair will face.

Over the course of this year, the 10-year real rate has charted a higher trough, suggesting support for yields. This may raise some eyebrows as the narrative surrounding rates has changed, which may, in turn, impact on the financial markets.

Apple is in talks with Google to use Gemini artificial intelligence in the iPhone. Gemini is Google’s suite of generative AI tools and may be integrated into iPhone software later this year - Apple may release iOS 18 at its June Worldwide Developer’s Conference.

JPMorgan Chase will pay almost $350 million to bank regulators because of surveillance failures on billions of trades over the last decade. JPM discovered the record-keeping shortfalls and reported them to the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of Currency. The Fed penalised the bank to the tune of $98m and the OCC will receive $250m.

Nvidia’s trading this week has been choppy. Notably, it charted a rare bearish outside day on Friday, in a day of high volatility, where the range from its high to low was $108. This hot-bloodedness comes just before its developer’s event, which kicks off on Monday.

FXCM’s USDOLLAR basket has a high correlation with the US 10-year real rate. The current correlation coefficient is at 85%, suggesting a positive relationship between the two.

Apple stock has had a tough start to the year and is down close to 9% for the year-to-date. Technically, it is approaching an important support level at $165 (green horizontal line). Its trend-following indicators are in bear mode with the green 5-week EMA below the orange 10-week EMA. Moreover, the momentum is biased to the downside with Apple’s weekly RSI below 50 (green rectangle). The longer it stays below…

This year gold has reasserted its inverse relationship with the real yield. Currently the precious metal has a -67% correlation coefficient to the 10-year real yield and given that the market is pricing in four rate cuts for 2024 (beginning in June), gold’s potential upside cannot be overlooked.

Apple has abandoned its electric vehicle project in favour of a more concentrated effort on developing generative AI.

The SPX500 is overbought as per its weekly RSI (green rectangle), largely due to the artificial intelligence narrative. In this regard, some of the index’s top constituents by market capitalisation, not surprisingly, are also overbought, contributing to the overall heat of the index. Examples include Meta, NVidia, and Amazon.com amongst others.