US30 positioned neutral ahead of key jobs report

The US30 dropped 165 points yesterday. This followed the ADP surprise to the upside, showing 235K jobs were created (153K - forecast). This prompted renewed rate hike fears, given the Fed concern over wage inflation.
Kansas City Fed President Esther George said on CNBC that she has raised her forecast for the Fed Funds Rate to increase above 5%. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said that there is "much work to do" regarding inflation.
Ahead of today's key non-farm employment change (NFP), the US30 is currently neutral, trading between the blue bands, with a daily RSI near 50 (green rectangle). The NFP is forecast to be 200K. Any upside surprise may push the US30 into its bearish channel between the lower blue and red bands.
Russell Shor
Senior Market Specialist
Russell Shor joined FXCM in October 2017 as a Senior Market Specialist. He is a certified FMVA® and has an Honours Degree in Economics from the University of South Africa. Russell is a full member of the Society of Technical Analysts in the United Kingdom. With over 20 years of financial markets experience, his analysis is of a high standard and quality.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed here.