Nominal Yields Adjust Off CPI Print

Yesterday, the US headline CPI beat the forecast of 5.8% y/y, coming in at 6.2%. The core CPI, which strips out volatile items such as energy and food also beat at 4.6% (4.3% forecast). As such, nominal yields are adjusting.


Past performance is not an indicator of future results
Source: www.tradingview.com

The chart above shows the Heiken Ashi US10Y. Its yield is a nominal yield i.e. it has an inflation adjustment component to it. Heiken Ashi candlesticks are trend-following indicators. Its change of colour from red to blue indicates a change in trend. Furthermore, this change comes as the candlestick moves from a weak area to a neutral area. From the lower blue/lower red band area to the lower blue/upper blue band area.

Further adjustments to the US10Y may see it move to the strong area of the upper blue/upper red area. This must be monitored because it is considered supportive for the USDOLLAR and may pressure valuations due to a higher discount rate adjustment.

Trade the News: View our Economic Calendar

Russell Shor

Senior Market Specialist

Russell Shor joined FXCM in October 2017 as a Senior Market Specialist. He is a certified FMVA® and has an Honours Degree in Economics from the University of South Africa. Russell is a full member of the Society of Technical Analysts in the United Kingdom. With over 20 years of financial markets experience, his analysis is of a high standard and quality.

Disclosure

Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed here.

Risk Warning: Our service includes products that are traded on margin and carry a risk of losses in excess of your deposited funds. The products may not be suitable for all investors. Please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

${getInstrumentData.name} / ${getInstrumentData.ticker} /

Exchange: ${getInstrumentData.exchange}

${getInstrumentData.bid} ${getInstrumentData.divCcy} ${getInstrumentData.priceChange} (${getInstrumentData.percentChange}%) ${getInstrumentData.priceChange} (${getInstrumentData.percentChange}%)