Yesterday’s large-cap price action was remarkable
Yesterday's price action sets up for potentially bullish "buy the dip" action today.
Senior Market Strategist
Russell Shor is a Senior Market Strategist at FXCM, having been promoted to the role in 2025 in recognition of his depth of insight and consistent delivery of high-impact market analysis. He originally joined FXCM in October 2017 as a Senior Market Specialist.
Russell holds an Honours Degree in Economics from the University of South Africa, is a certified FMVA®, and a full member of the Society of Technical Analysts (UK). With over 20 years of experience in financial markets, his work is renowned for its clarity, precision, and strategic value across asset classes.
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Yesterday's price action sets up for potentially bullish "buy the dip" action today.
Immediate overhead resistance is currently keeping the dollar in check.
This escalation to military conflict has led to a risk-off sentiment in the financial markets.
The weekly charts below show the: * US02-Yr Treasury (top). * US10-Yr Treasury (middle). * 10/02 Yield curve (bottom). The spread between the 10/02 has declined to 0.371%. I.e., the yield curve has flattened remarkably since the middle of last year (red rectangle). The reason is the sharp increase in the US02-Yr (blue rectangle) vs. the shallower incline of the US10-Yr note (green rectangle). The steepness of the shorter maturity…
Oil Technicals Oil prices have appreciated as the tensions between Russia and Ukraine have intensified. The chart on the left below shows the USOil weekly heikin ashi chart. These candles are trend-following indicators and are trading in USOil's strength zone, between the upper blue and red bands. I.e., the two trend-following systems are reinforcing one another. The weekly RSI is within regular readings, implying that there is still potential scope…
Oil Technicals Oil prices have appreciated as the tensions between Russia and Ukraine have intensified. The chart on the left below shows the USOil weekly heikin ashi chart. These candles are trend-following indicators and are trading in USOil's strength zone, between the upper blue and red bands. I.e., the two trend-following systems are reinforcing one another. The weekly RSI is within regular readings, implying that there is still potential scope…
Ethereum reached its all-time high of $4,864.40 on 10 November last year. Since then, its price has deteriorated by 47.9% as of trade today, which is an enormous erosion of capital. During an interview with Bloomberg, Vitalik Buterin, co-founder of Ethereum blockchain, said, "The people who are deep into crypto, and especially building things, a lot of them welcome a bear market. [This is] because when there are these long…
USDOLLAR Weekly Trend The chart below shows FXCM's dollar basket, USDOLLAR. First, price indicates a series of higher troughs followed by higher peaks, which is the classical definition of an uptrend. Next, we assess if the candle ending 11 Feb is the next higher trough in the series (HT?). To this end, last week's candle (green arrow) did not close above the aqua horizontal, which is our requirement for a…
Today's NFP trade ended with a 6.9 pip loss. However, the SL was reduced from 20 pips of risk to 6.9 pips. After the initial kick, volatility declined for a slow grind into the conclusion.
Weekly Chart The DAX (GER30) is moving laterally in a sideways rectangle pattern. Support is around the 15,000 level, with resistance around the 16,000 level (green shaded horizontals). Last week's candle is a bullish Dragonfly Doji. I.e., bears lost control at the low, and the week ended with the bulls in control. However, we are looking for follow-through this week as confirmation, which is yet to be established. This week's…
Daily Chart The chart below shows Apple's (AAPL) daily chart. We have included two Bollinger Bands to assess market sentiment. After a brutal selldown during January, AAPL is now on the border of its bullish zone, between the upper blue and red bands. If it moves into this region, it is a bullish development. The longer the stock stays in this region, the stronger the odds for bullish appreciation, significantly…
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