📊 Gold / FX / Index Daily Update | 13 August 2026

📊 Gold / FX / Index Daily Update | 13 August 2026

Dear traders — yesterday’s U.S. CPI reduced some of the pressure for another Fed rate increase, but today’s Producer Price Index may provide the next inflation test.

July CPI rose only 0.1%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq moved higher and Gold reached its highest level in more than two months. AI and semiconductor stocks also rebounded strongly.

🟡 GOLD WATCH — XAUUSD
Quick View:
Gold gained around 0.9% to approximately $4,407.

Key levels to watch:
$4,400 psychological area / $4,450 resistance / $4,350 support

Why watch it?

Gold benefited from:

• softer inflation pressure
• lower Fed-hike expectations
• geopolitical uncertainty

Today’s key question is whether PPI confirms the CPI story.

A softer producer-price reading may support Gold through lower yields, while stronger inflation could produce short-term profit-taking.

🔥 OIL WATCH — WTI / BRENT
Brent: $88.98
WTI: $83.27

Both finished almost unchanged after a volatile session.

Key levels:
Brent $87 / $89 / $90-$92
WTI $81 / $83 / $85

Oil remains highly sensitive to the Strait of Hormuz.

Lower global demand forecasts are limiting upside, while shipping attacks and the U.S.-Iran deadlock continue to maintain a geopolitical risk premium.

💵 FX WATCH — USDJPY / EURUSD
USDJPY
USDJPY remained near 159.39.

Key levels:
158.50 support / 159.50 pivot / 160.00 resistance

The 160 area remains particularly important because intervention risk may rise again.

A strong PPI could support Treasury yields and USDJPY; softer producer inflation may have the opposite effect.

EURUSD
EURUSD traded near 1.1524.

Key levels:
1.1500 / 1.1525 / 1.1600

📈 US INDEX WATCH — US30 / NAS100 / SPX500
Wednesday:
Dow -0.04%
S&P 500 +0.26%
Nasdaq +0.54%.

Key levels:
US30 — 53,500-54,000
SPX500 — 7,700-7,800
NAS100 — 26,500-27,000

Softer inflation and AI infrastructure optimism supported growth stocks.

Today’s PPI may determine whether that combination remains supportive.

🤖 AI STOCKS WATCH — NVIDIA / SEMICONDUCTORS
AI stocks were one of Wednesday’s strongest themes.

Nvidia +3.0%
Semiconductor Index +2.5%
Micron +4.9%

CoreWeave surged about 19%, while several other AI data-centre names also recorded strong gains after positive earnings and investment guidance.

Nvidia: around $224.09
Key areas: $220 / $225 / $230.

Why watch it?

The AI trade is increasingly being driven by:
• data-centre investment
• GPU demand
• financing availability
• hyperscaler capex
• revenue visibility
• Treasury yields

The major question remains whether rapidly increasing AI infrastructure investment can translate into sustainable returns.

🔎 TESLA / ALPHABET / INTEL
Wednesday:
Tesla -1.6%
Alphabet broadly flat
Intel +3.3%.

Technology performance remains selective even when the broader AI sector rallies.

Watch:
• Tesla sensitivity to growth-stock valuations
• Alphabet AI-chip competition
• Intel manufacturing momentum
• Treasury yields
• NAS100 breadth

🌏 ASIA INDEX WATCH
HKG33
Previous session approximately -0.8% near 25,440.

Key levels:
25,000 / 25,500 / 26,000

JPN225
Previous session approximately +0.8% to 67,524.

Key levels:
67,000 / 67,500 / 68,000

JPN225 remains supported by technology shares and a weak yen, but possible BOJ tightening and USDJPY intervention risk remain important.

₿ CRYPTO WATCH — BITCOIN
Bitcoin is trading around the $63,400-$64,000 area.

Key levels:
$63,000 support / $64,000 pivot / $65,000 resistance

Crypto remains linked to:
• Treasury yields
• USD liquidity
• NAS100
• Fed expectations

That makes today’s PPI relevant even for Crypto.

📌 TODAY’S KEY FOCUS — PPI DAY
🇺🇸 8:30 a.m. ET — U.S. PPI

Consensus approximately:

Headline PPI MoM: +0.2%
Headline PPI YoY: 4.9%
Core PPI MoM: +0.3%

🇺🇸 8:30 a.m. ET — Initial Jobless Claims

Expected: approximately 202K vs 199K previously.

Also watch:
• Continuing Jobless Claims
• 8:40 a.m. ET — Fed Barkin remarks
• 10:30 a.m. ET — EIA Natural Gas Storage
• 1:00 p.m. ET — U.S. 30-Year Treasury auction
• Strait of Hormuz developments
• USDJPY intervention risk
• Nvidia / semiconductor follow-through
• Treasury-yield reaction

The BLS officially confirms July PPI for today, August 13 at 8:30 a.m. ET.

💡 SEA Trader Checklist
1️⃣ Does PPI confirm yesterday’s softer CPI signal?
2️⃣ Can Gold hold sustainably above $4,400?
3️⃣ Does USDJPY approach the 160 intervention-sensitive area?
4️⃣ Can Nvidia and semiconductor stocks extend Wednesday’s rebound?
5️⃣ Will NAS100 remain supported if Treasury yields stay contained?
6️⃣ Can Brent break above $90 as Hormuz uncertainty continues?
7️⃣ Do jobless claims confirm further labour-market cooling?
8️⃣ Does Bitcoin maintain support around $63,000?

PPI-related volatility may create potential trading opportunities, but price movements may accelerate around the 8:30 a.m. ET release, Treasury-yield changes, geopolitical headlines and intervention-related comments.

⚠️Trading involves high risk. Market conditions may change rapidly. 

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#Gold #XAUUSD #PPI #Inflation #Forex #USDJPY #EURUSD #Oil #WTI #Brent #US30 #NAS100 #SPX500 #HKG33 #JPN225 #AIStocks #Nvidia #Tesla #Alphabet #Intel #Semiconductors #Bitcoin #Crypto #Fed #JoblessClaims #MarketUpdate #CFDTrading #HighRiskTrading #FXCMThai

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