The USDCAD Currency Pair
In terms of volume, one of the most frequently traded currency pairings on the forex market is the United States dollar (USD) with the Canadian dollar (CAD). Considered to be a major pair, USD/CAD is the most heavily traded currency pairing on the forex involving the Canadian dollar.
USD/CAD is classified as a commodity pairing, which is a currency cross between two countries that possess large amounts of commodities. There are three such pairs on the market: USD/CAD, USD/AUD (Australian dollar) and USD/NZD (New Zealand dollar). While the market value of precious metals often impacts USD/AUD and USD/NZD, energy commodities such as crude oil and natural gas exhibit a substantial correlation to exchange rate fluctuations facing USD/CAD.
The trade relationship between the US and Canada places a great deal of importance on the stability of the exchange rate. For the year end 2015, Canada transported 76.7% of total exports to the United States, while taking in over half of all imports from the US.1)Retrieved 5 October 2016 https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ca.html Conversely, Canada served as the largest single destination for US goods and services (18.6%) while also being the US’s second-largest trade partner behind China.2)Retrieved 5 October 2016 https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/us.html
This trade relationship is strongly tied to the flow of energy commodities from Canada to the US. For the year end 2015, Canada served as the largest provider of oil to the US, shipping 3.76 million barrels per day and accounting for 40% of all United States petroleum imports.3)Retrieved 5 October 2016 http://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.cfm?id=727&t=6 Accordingly, fluctuations in the pricing of crude oil often have a large impact upon the exchange rate of USD/CAD.
The correlation between the pricing of energy commodities and the exchange rate volatility facing USD/CAD can be observed during the crude oil selloff that occurred from September 2014 and February 2015. During this period, Western Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures fell from a value of US$95.31 per barrel to a bottom of US$42.03 per barrel.
The impact upon USD/CAD was substantial. For the same period, USD/CAD rallied from a value of 1.08724 in September 2014 to a value of 1.25168 in February 2015. The move represented a 15% appreciation for the six-month period, during which time WTI crude oil futures experienced a loss of over 50% of market value.
The exchange rate volatility facing USD/CAD brought on by the devaluation in crude oil had substantial consequences for Canada. For the first time since 2009, the Canadian economy experienced a shrinking GDP, weakening dollar and a slip into recession.4)Retrieved 5 October 2016 https://www.thestar.com/business/2015/09/01/canadian-economy-in-recession-gdp-figures-show.html For the US, lower energy prices served as a catalyst for positive GDP growth and wider-spread economic stimulus.
The dramatic depreciation in the value of crude oil for the period September 2014 to February 2015, and the simultaneous appreciation of USD/CAD, is a good illustration of the potential volatilities facing a commodity pairing. While only one aspect of a complex economic landscape, USD/CAD and its relationship to energy commodity pricing serve as an important indicator of the economic health of both nations.
USD/CAD: Key FactsU.S. Dollar (USD)
- Currency overview: USD is the official currency of the United States and its inhabited territories. USD is a decimalised currency, as one dollar consists of 100 sub units called “cents.” USD acts as the world’s reserve currency, with 62% of global foreign exchange reserves held by central banks being denominated in USD.5)Retrieved 22 March 2016 http://www.businessinsider.com/dollar-as-international-reserve-currency-2013-11
- Currency code: USD
- Central bank: United States Federal Reserve
- History: The Coinage Act of 1792 put into place the United States' first organised monetary system.6)Retrieved 22 March 2016 http://www.advfn.com/currencies/usd/about/USDollar.html Paper banknotes (dollars) were introduced into circulation in the mid-1800s, via creation of the US Treasury by Congress. The Federal Reserve act of 1913 created the central bank of the US, the Federal Reserve. Through the introduction of the Bretton Woods monetary system in 1944, USD became the world’s reserve currency.
- Economy: The United States economy is considered to be a “mixed” economy, with both private industry and governmental intervention contributing to the overall economic output. The US accounts for nearly 25% of global GDP annually.7)Retrieved 22 March 2016 http://www.economywatch.com/world_economy/usa/
- Currency subunits: 1 USD consists of 100 cents
- Denominations: Bills: $1, $5, $20, $50, $100; Coins: 1c, 5c, 10c, 25c, 50c, $1
- Sixty-six countries peg the value of their currency to USD, or directly use USD as their national currency.8)Retrieved 22 March 2016 http://useconomy.about.com/od/glossary/g/dollar-peg.htm
- Four currency pairings including USD are referred to as "majors." USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, and EUR/USD.
- Currency overview: CAD is the official currency of all ten provinces and three territories located in Canada. It’s a decimalised currency, meaning that one dollar consists of 100 sub units called “cents.”
- Currency code: CAD
- Central bank: Bank of Canada
- History: The origins of currency in Canada can be traced to the mid-17th century with the introduction of coins into the region by French colonists. In 1841, Canada conducted trade using the Canadian pound, a currency based on the pound sterling. Soon to follow in 1858, the Canadian pound was replaced by the Canadian dollar, which was based upon the United States dollar. The Bank of Canada came into being in 1934 and commenced the printing and issue of banknotes in 1935.
- Economy: Canada ranks as the 16th largest global economy in terms of GDP purchasing power parity. Abundant natural resources have spurred economic growth and the exporting sector. Canada ranks 13th in the world in exports, with the leading exports being crude oil, natural gas, electricity, wood pulp and timber.9)Retrieved 3 October 2016 https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ca.html
- Currency subunits: 1 CAD is made up of 100 cents
- Denominations: Bills: CA$5, CA$10, CA$20, CA$50, CA$100; Coinage: ¢1, ¢5, ¢10, ¢25, $1 (known as a "loonie"), $2 (known as a "toonie").
- Currently, no countries peg their currencies to the value of CAD. CAD is used for trade in all 10 Canadian provinces and three northern territories. It’s also sporadically accepted as legal tender in communities located in the northern US.
- CAD is considered to be a "major currency" or one of the eight most frequently traded currencies in the world. When paired with USD, it is considered to be a "major pairing."
References [ + ]
|1.||↑||Retrieved 5 October 2016 https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ca.html|
|2.||↑||Retrieved 5 October 2016 https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/us.html|
|3.||↑||Retrieved 5 October 2016 http://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.cfm?id=727&t=6|
|4.||↑||Retrieved 5 October 2016 https://www.thestar.com/business/2015/09/01/canadian-economy-in-recession-gdp-figures-show.html|
|5.||↑||Retrieved 22 March 2016 http://www.businessinsider.com/dollar-as-international-reserve-currency-2013-11|
|6.||↑||Retrieved 22 March 2016 http://www.advfn.com/currencies/usd/about/USDollar.html|
|7.||↑||Retrieved 22 March 2016 http://www.economywatch.com/world_economy/usa/|
|8.||↑||Retrieved 22 March 2016 http://useconomy.about.com/od/glossary/g/dollar-peg.htm|
|9.||↑||Retrieved 3 October 2016 https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ca.html|